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Posts Tagged ‘european central bank’

Inflation Is Not The Solution To The Economic Crisis

August 20th, 2012 Comments off

Almost instantaneously, as soon as governments across the globe went into unparalleled debt to bail out their financial systems beginning in 2008, economists openly were discussing  the impossibility of ever paying back those sovereign loans, and that a different solution was required. The answer, so the economists said amongst themselves, was targeted inflation. In effect, so argued those economists, inflation significantly higher than recent levels, targeted at a level of at least 5 percent, would be “good.”

Why would inflation, a fiscal and monetary circumstance which human beings by instinct regard as an ill omen, be seen in such positive hues by economists as renowned as Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman? The answer is that inflation is viewed as the ideal solution for eliminating sovereign debts that can never be repaid. In effect, inflation is the methodology by which a nation-state defaults on its loan obligations stealthily. The printing presses expand money supply beyond the level generated through real economic productivity, in the process depreciating the value of the currency. The nation-state , on paper, doesn’t default on its loan repayments, since the contractual obligation is repaid in monetary terms. However, inflation depreciates the value of the currency, so the outstanding loan obligation shrinks in real terms. In addition, so argue the economists, inflation, by destroying the value of money, discourages savings, leading to higher spending and improved economic growth.

It is a neat gimmick, one resorted to by indebted sovereigns throughout history. However, despite claims by economists that precisely targeted inflation has worked in the past, history tells a different story. In the great majority of examples where countries deliberately employed inflation as a fiscal and economic policy, the results were not only counterproductive; very often the social anguish created by the policymakers resulted in political consequences of dire proportions. One can look back at Weimar Germany’s bout of inflation, which went out of control and morphed into rampant hyperinflation. There are many countries that experimented with inflation at levels far less  than those experienced by Weimar Germany and, more recently, Zimbabwe, which still did no good and much harm economically and socially.

The basic problem with modern economic policymaking is that it is too fixated on fiscal gimmickry to resolve core problems. Whether it  is quantitative easing and “Operation Twist” by the Federal Reserve or stealth sovereign bond purchases by the European Central Bank,  the “experts” play fiscal games rather than address the fundamental factors underlying the global economic crisis; flawed systems and economic architectures that have transformed nations that formerly focused on production into entities of debt-financed consumption.  Regrettably, instead of coming to grips with the true underlying factors responsible for the first global economic depression of the 21st century, the economists advising our policymakers look increasingly towards inflation, and the destruction of whatever financial assets are still retained by the increasingly beleaguered middle class, as the last best hope for resolving the sovereign debt crisis.

It is unfortunate that our modern-day economic gurus have not read Santayana, who warned that those who disregard the mistakes of the past are condemned to repeat them.

 

WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 To view the official trailer YouTube video for “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

In a world dominated by high finance, how far would Wall Street go in search of profits? In Sheldon Filger’s terrifying novel about money, sex and murder, Wall Street has no limits. “Wall Street Kills” is the ultimate thriller about greed gone mad. Read “Wall Street Kills” and blow your mind.

 

 

The Next Round In The Eurozone Crisis

August 13th, 2012 Comments off

Amid the celebratory exertions emanating from London during the 2012 Olympics, one might think that the Eurozone debt crisis has been “resolved.” Far from it. A minor excursion may have occurred, at least for the public at large. With the Olympics now over, the politicians in debt-ravaged Europe will  again focus on the dire circumstances surrounding their fraying monetary union.

All the latest economic data from Europe reveals  a growing recession afflicting many Eurozone economies, record levels of unemployment in the PIIGS nations most burdened by unsustainable sovereign debt and increasingly panicked calls for the European Central bank to print money  and use the magically created liquidity to purchase sovereign bonds.

Europe and it creditors, in particular major banks in Germany and  France, are just one major crisis away from a full-grown financial crisis. If the nuclear issue with Iran becomes  an armed conflict, that might be the final nail in the coffin of the euro.  The situation for the Eurozone is most fragile economically and financially, and not much better in the U.K., China or the United States.

 

WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 To view the official trailer YouTube video for “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

In a world dominated by high finance, how far would Wall Street go in search of profits? In Sheldon Filger’s terrifying novel about money, sex and murder, Wall Street has no limits. “Wall Street Kills” is the ultimate thriller about greed gone mad. Read “Wall Street Kills” and blow your mind.

 

 

 

Italy’s Amazing Shrinking Economy

August 8th, 2012 Comments off

The Italian government just announced Q2 GDP figures, and they are, as they say in Rome, “Not so good.” Italy’s economy shrank by .0.7 percent, and by 2.5 percent from exactly a year ago. It is clear that Italy is immersed in a profound economic crisis, with dangerous ramifications for the entire Eurozone.

Italy is the largest economy within the group of five Eurozone members dubbed the PIIGS, nations with  disastrous sovereign debt problems. Greece was the first, and Italy may be the last, but the Italian economy and its staggering sovereign debt are far too large for a bailout. That is why Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti is sounding increasingly desperate, and whispers are growing louder that the only hope of saving the euro is for the European Central Bank to print money at warp speed, in the process inducing massive inflation. In  other words, inflating away the value of Europe’s sovereign debt, even at the expense of the currency’s value-and the integrity of life savings of ordinary citizens- may be the last grasp for Eurozone politicians who are so up against the wall, they may be tempted to undertake policy measures that until recently were deemed unthinkable.

WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 To view the official trailer YouTube video   for “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

In a world dominated by high finance, how far would Wall Street go in search of profits? In Sheldon Filger’s terrifying novel about money, sex and murder, Wall Street has no limits. “Wall Street Kills” is the ultimate thriller about greed gone mad. Read “Wall Street Kills” and blow your mind.

European Central Bank And Mario Draghi

August 5th, 2012 Comments off

Increasingly, amidst the worsening Eurozone debt crisis. the European Central Bank is becoming the center of gravity for not just insolvent sovereigns within the Eurozone; the bulk of the global economy is facing towards the ECB president, Mario Draghi, in much the same way as the pious do towards Mecca. With the bulk of Europe, including not only the Eurozone countries but also the UK mired in recession and unending economic crises, the bond vigilantes and investors have largely given up on the politicians.

Will Mario Draghi follow the pattern of the U.S. Federal Reserve and its chairman, Ben Bernanke, in dropping loads of cash from his virtual helicopter, freshly conjured out of thin air through the magic of the central bank’s printing press? It is a sign of the times, and the incessant global economic crisis, that supposedly sophisticated investors are desperately hoping for the unleashing of a torrent of legal counterfeiting by the central bankers as the final chance to ward off fiscal calamity.

 

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WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 To view and listen to the YouTube video audio excerpt  “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

 

 

Sex, murder, financial power and pathological greed come together in the explosive suspense thriller by Sheldon Filger, WALL STREET KILLS: A NOVEL ABOUT FINANCIAL POWER, VIOLENT SEX AND THE ULTIMATE SNUFF MOVIE.
This video provides a free audio reading from chapter one of “Wall Street Kills.” The scene depicted involves two characters from “Wall Street Kills” having a business conversation in a Los Angeles suburb. One character is Peter Hoffman, director of new business development for a secretive Wall Street hedge fund and private equity group. The other character is Daniel Iachino, president of a major independent film company specializing in “adult entertainment” for niche markets. Hoffman is on a mission to investigate if portraying unsimulated violent death in the form of entertainment would be a lucrative business investment. The conversation between the two men quickly focuses on the phenomenon of snuff movies.

 

 

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Spain Borrowing Costs Again Soar To Dangerous Levels

July 20th, 2012 Comments off

As Eurozone politicians leverage the future earnings of Eurozone taxpayers (especially Germans) to cover the ever-growing list of bailout packages, interest rates on Spanish 10-year bonds again crossed the dangerous threshold of seven percent. On Thursday, yields hit 7.03 percent. Thus, despite all the fiscal and monetary games going on in Europe to artificially dampen interest rates, the bond vigilantes keep striking back,

As is widely recognized, a seven percent yield on long-term sovereign bonds is unsustainable in the Eurozone. In previous cases where PIIGS countries crossed that red zone (Ireland, Portugal and Greece) they all required huge bailouts from the Eurozone-in the case of Greece two bailouts. Despite all the claims by politicians in Spain and elsewhere in the Eurozone  that Madrid will not need a bailout (despite Spanish banks already receiving a $120 billion bailout) it seems likely that Madrid will follow  in the footsteps of Athens, Lisbon and Dublin. Can Italy be far behind? And how does the Eurozone, meaning principally Germany, pay for the bailouts of Spain and Italy? The answer is, this is mathematically impossible. Which leaves one last option; monetization  of sovereign debt in the Eurozone by the European Central Bank. That means massive money printing, which will wipe out most of the sovereign debt, along with the value and credibility of the euro.

 

 

WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 

 

 

To view the YouTube video overview of “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

 

Wall Street Kills,” a novel by Sheldon Filger, presents a dark and shocking view of Wall Street greed that is pathologically out of control. “Wall Street Kills,” available in both eBook and hard copy editions on Amazon.com, portrays the leading characters, primarily Wall Street insiders, as having a pathological drive for attaining vast profits, even if that means engaging in a shockingly brutal plot, in which the life of a celebrity woman must be sacrificed. Controversial themes explored in the novel include the exploitation of sexual violence against women for profit. 

At the core of “Wall Street Kills” is an elaborate plot to kidnap a world famous female celebrity, and murder her in a theatrical spectacle that will broadcast over the Internet in real-time, available for viewing to anyone with a computer willing to pay the steep access fee. The secretive group of Wall Street investors behind the scheme seek to produce the ultimate snuff movie.

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IMF Gloomy On Global Economy, Pushes ECB To Adopt Weimar Style Monetary Policies

July 17th, 2012 Comments off

The latest report from the World Economic Outlook, released by the International Monetary Fund, cuts its forecast on global GDP growth. Of greater importance is the focus the IMF placed on the Eurozone debt crisis.  According to the IMF report, “The utmost priority is to resolve the crisis in the euro area.”

The IMF appears to be standing with those who are calling for the European Central Bank to replicate the loose monetary policies and money printing of the U.S. Federal Reserve and its chairman, Ben Bernanke.  The report virtually pleads for the ECB president, Mario Draghi, to place his printing presses in overdrive.

 “The ECB should ensure that its monetary support is transmitted effectively across the region and should continue to provide ample liquidity support to banks under sufficiently lenient conditions,” so says the International Monetary Fund in its report. It appears that the IMF is seeking Weimar style solutions to the European debt crisis, obviously forgetful of what those policies did for Germany  in the 1920s and early 1930s.

 

WALL STREET KILLS--A CHILLING NOVEL ABOUT WALL STREET GREED GONE MAD

 To view and listen to the YouTube video audio excerpt  “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:

 

Sex, murder, financial power and pathological greed come together in the explosive suspense thriller by Sheldon Filger, WALL STREET KILLS: A NOVEL ABOUT FINANCIAL POWER, VIOLENT SEX AND THE ULTIMATE SNUFF MOVIE.
This video provides a free audio reading from chapter one of “Wall Street Kills.” The scene depicted involves two characters from “Wall Street Kills” having a business conversation in a Los Angeles suburb. One character is Peter Hoffman, director of new business development for a secretive Wall Street hedge fund and private equity group. The other character is Daniel Iachino, president of a major independent film company specializing in “adult entertainment” for niche markets. Hoffman is on a mission to investigate if portraying unsimulated violent death in the form of entertainment would be a lucrative business investment. The conversation between the two men quickly focuses on the phenomenon of snuff movies.

 

 

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European Central Bank Scrambles As Eurozone Debt Crisis Rages

June 3rd, 2012 Comments off

ECB President Mario Draghi, it is rumored, will cut interest rates, in a frantic effort to retard the rampaging Eurozone Debt Crisis. Since assuming the ECB presidency, Draghi has engaged in stealth quantitative easing, buying up sovereign bonds, and engaging in other monetary gimmicks. But nothing seems to be working. With ECB rates already very low, there is not much left to be cut.

The schism is over supposed austerity measures in the vulnerable Eurozone countries with large sovereign debts neutralizing any impact  from ECB monetary policies. However, the real issue involves the bond markets; will they open up their coffers and offer more loans to countries that already have an unsustainable debt to GDP ratio? In the Eurozone, both economic /fiscal and monetary policies are totally detached from the harsh realities of the marketplace.

 

                 

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Spanish Bond Yields Rise

April 6th, 2012 Comments off

 

The yield on Spanish government 10-year bonds has risen another 13 basis points, now standing at just over 5.8 percent.  This is in line with the deteriorating economic and fiscal situation in Spain. Madrid has recently enacted draconian government spending cuts. However, the conundrum is this; previous government spending was unsustainable, but the most recent cuts are a massive fiscal drag, which will also exacerbate the government deficit in its annual spending. Investors know this, which is why Spanish bond yields are rising.

With the highest official unemployment rate in the Eurozone (23 percent)and the economy continuing to contract, there is increasing concern that the center of gravity in the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis has migrated from Greece to Spain. In the meantime, the European Central Bank continues its policy of stealthily monetizing debt throughout the Eurozone through its printing press.

                 

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European Central Bank Chief Claims Eurozone Debt Crisis Is “Over”

March 22nd, 2012 Comments off

Only a few weeks after the latest  version of the Greek bailout package, the President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, is boasting that the worst of the Eurozone debt crisis is “over.” He made this remarkable claim in an interview with a German publication. Draghi boasted that the economies of the Eurozone were now stabilizing.

Draghi must be toking some powerful weed, or otherwise he is attempting to repeat U.S. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s previous boasts about economic “green shoots.” The latest PMI figures from Germany, which show that the country’s manufacturing  sector is weakening, and other similar statistics from elsewhere in the Eurozone, make ECB president Draghi’s boast sound bizarre, to say the least.

Despite Mario Draghi’s high profile delivery of rosy prognostication, the Greek debt crisis is far from over, and the other PIIGS nations (Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain)have not seen their dangerous debt and deficit to GDP ratios, poor economic growth figures or catastrophic levels of unemployment magically improve. Draghi may be a wonderful propagandist for the Eurozone, but he is no magician.

                 

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Lender of Last Resort For European Banks: Mario Draghi of the ECB

March 8th, 2012 Comments off

It appears that the European Central Bank under the leadership of Mario Draghi is following in lockstep with the policy prescription devised by the Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke. Just as the Fed expanded its  balance sheet to over $2 trillion, in the process becoming the lender of last resort to U.S. banks  that would otherwise have been insolvent without the cheap credit from Bernanke (and changing accounting rules from “mark to market” to “mark to fantasy”), the ECB is now doing exactly the same in the Eurozone.

Already, through its stealth quantitative easing program, the European Central Bank has expanded its balance sheet by more than $1.3 trillion, thus preventing Europe’s banks from collapsing due to the weight of worthless assets they hold in sovereign loans to insolvent (and defaulting)nations such as Greece, along with Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain on their balance sheets.

It is no surprise that many investors, and certainly all the banks, are cheering central bankers such as Bernanke and Draghi. They seem to ignore the fact that if money printing by central banks were truly an effective method of restoring genuine economic  growth, than counterfeiting would be legal for us all, and not just the trans-sovereign central banks.

 

 

                 

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