Posts Tagged ‘u.s. unemployment rate’

U.S. Economy Continues to Suffer High Unemployment

January 14th, 2014 Comments off

The December 2013 jobs reported recently released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics  shows, on paper, a steep decline in the unemployment rate, to 6.7 percent, versus 7 percent for November. Yet, not even the usual happy chorus was cheering what, on the surface, was positive economic news. The BLS also showed that a mere 74,000 jobs were created in December by the U.S. economy.

Depending on various statistical measurements, the American economy must produce at least 150,000 jobs per month, and more realistically 200-250,000 just to keep even with the normal flow of new entrants into the U.S. labor market, based on natural population growth. In other words, based on the statistic of 74,000 jobs created in December, the actual unemployment rate in the United States should have increased rather than decrease. The reason why the official U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 6.7 percent is that a large number of long-term unemployed Americans have left the job market, either voluntarily, or arbitrarily based on the BLS statisticians deciding not to count them among the officially unemployed.

The official numbers can be ignored; in truth the United States continues to suffer the ravages of high unemployment-and underemployment-nearly six years after the onset of the global economic crisis.


If Hillary Clinton runs for President of the United States  in 2016, see the video about the book that warned back in 2008 what a second Clinton presidency would mean for the USA:


Hillary Clinton Nude


Hillary Clinton Nude


Hillary Clinton Nude

U.S. Jobs Report For June Shows Continued Economic Stagnation; This Is Not The “New Deal”

July 6th, 2012 Comments off

The latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistic indicates that only 80,000 jobs were created in the United States in June. One must take into account that the BLS figures are abstractions and not exact, and usually reveal only the most optimistic spin of the employment data. The BLS also reports that the American unemployment rate remains unchanged at 8.2 percent.

Since the U.S., with a population in excess of 300 million, must create between 150,000 and 200,000 jobs a month just to keep even with population growth, the only reason a tepid jobs creation number of 80,000 would also reveal no increase in the unemployment rate is that many Americans formerly classified as unemployed were reported by the BLS as having “left” the workforce in June, so they are no longer counted as unemployed. Such mathematical gymnastics may produce a slightly better spin on the unemployment picture in the United States, but they obviously do not resolve America’s profound economic problems.

It must be pointed out that even the exceedingly poor job creation figures of the past several months have been purchased at a very high opportunity cost. Since the global economic and financial crisis of 2008, the U.S. has been running annual structural mega-deficits of more than a trillion dollars annually. In fiscal year 2012, the U.S. federal budget projects expenditures of $3.8 trillion dollars and revenue of only $2.5 trillion. That means one third of U.S. federal government expenditures are derived from borrowed money. If such a massive fling of red ink can produce, at best, economic stall speed, one shudders to think what will befall the world’s largest economy once the spigot of cheap borrowed money is shut off by creditors who have lost their patience with America’s hopelessly gridlocked political system.

What went wrong with the Obama administration’s stimulus program? In the decades to come, scholars will wax eloquent in their analyses and academic explanations. However, one need only look to the last great American recession, the Great Depression of the 1930s, to note a major difference. The priority of the Obama administration was saving Wall Street, meaning the banks, including investment banks, at all costs, viewing the financial sector as the center of gravity of the American economy. In the case of the administration of Franklin Roosevelt in the 1930s, its policies, known as the New Deal, focused on the industrial sector and job creation as the nation’s economic center, and viewed the financial sector in a punitive manner, requiring investigation and strict regulation and reform. Arguments over the effectiveness of the New Deal continue to this day, however one fact cannot be denied. On the day that Franklin Roosevelt died in office, America was unquestionably the leading industrial and manufacturing nation on earth, and the role of financialization was below 2 percent of GDP. How different things are today.



To view the YouTube video overview of “Wall Street Kills,” click image below:


On Wall Street, a secretive group of investors plan on making the ultimate snuff movie (a snuff movie is an erotic film in which one of the performers is murdered in front of the camera). Their goal: massive financial returns on their investment. Their plan: kidnap a female celebrity and have her tortured and killed before a live Internet audience. Wall Street greed, financial power, the Federal Reserve and corrupt politics come together in the explosive thriller by Sheldon Filger, “Wall Street Kills.”





U.S. Economic Woes

July 12th, 2011 Comments off

Despite the attempt by statisticians to bend and twist the employment numbers to create the illusion of robust job creation in the  United States, even those manipulated numbers could not conceal the bitter reality; the U.S. has effectively zero job creation, with 150,000-200,000 additional job-seekers coming into the labor market each month. Officially, the American unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent, while more credible unofficial estimates  exceed 20 percent.

The structural mega-deficits have failed to increase employment in the United States, and now President Obama and Congress are deadlocked on the issue of raising the debt ceiling. The ugly truth is that America is effectively insolvent. It can only pay interest on its debts by accruing more debt. This cannot end well.

U.S. Jobless Claims Reach Highest Level In 8 Months

May 5th, 2011 Comments off

In a surprise and disturbing development, weekly unemployment assistance claims in the United States have reached 474,000. This is the largest weekly jobless claims report in eight months, and an increase of about ten percent over the prior week, despite predictions by economists that this week’s jobless report would actually show a drop in unemployment claims.

The current report is a major negative shift from several weeks earlier, when jobless claims dropped below 400,000. The unexpected and rapid acceleration in jobless claims is a clear indicator that the U.S. economy remains mired in deep crisis, with persistent and historically high rates of unemployment.

With the Obama stimulus expenditures running out of steam, a Republican dominated Congress unwilling to further increase deficit spending for more stimulus, and the Federal Reserve’s massive monetary intervention proving to be ineffective in facilitating job creation, all the signs are that the American economy is headed for a double-dip recession.




U.S. Structural Unemployment Rate Stuck at Record High

December 6th, 2010 Comments off

The latest U.S. official employment data states that fewer than 40,000 new jobs were created in November, well below the level required to cover new entries into the workforce due to natural population growth. Officially, the U.S. unemployment rate stands at 9.8%, though factoring in discouraged workers and part-time employees unable to find full-time work, the actual figure hovers near 20 percent. More alarmingly, long-term unemployment in America stands at the highest level since the Great Depression of the 1930s.

Despite the dismal employment numbers, there remains among economic commentators in the United States eternal optimists who believe there are still “green shoots” pointing to an economic recovery. Some even maintain that the actual job creation numbers for November are much higher than the official numbers, despite much more voluminous contrary evidence.

In contrast with the optimists, the Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, is already hinting at the need for a third round of quantitative easing, after his recent unleashing of QE2, a $600 billion orgy of money-printing by the Fed. Bernanke knows that the employment situation in the U.S. is a catastrophe, meaning there can be no consumer-led recovery of the economy, that at a time when the Obama stimulus money is running out. With a second stimulus program off the table now that the Republicans have taken control of the House of Representatives, the Federal Reserve sees itself as the only avenue for stimulus in a desperate drive to revive job creation in America. However, to think that monetary policy can be more effective than fiscal policy in facilitating job creation seems like the last great gasp of an incorrigible fool.

U.S. May Unemployment Figures Are a Disaster

June 4th, 2010 Comments off

Contrary to the expectation of pundits and economists, May’s employment numbers released by the U.S. Labor Department are an unmitigated disaster. At first glance, though, the uninformed would think that the vast deficit funding on economic stimulus by the Obama administration was working. Supposedly, “employers” added  431,000 jobs, and the overall U3 unemployment rate dropped to 9.7%. However, the so-called “employers” consisted almost entirely of the U.S. federal government, which added  411,000 temporary census jobs in May. These jobs, which will disappear in a few weeks, are responsible for about 95% of the claimed job creation in May in the United States.

In May, according to the government’s own data, private sector job creation was statistically insignificant. I personally believe, based on past patterns, that  the U.S. government statisticians consistently over-report private sector employment in most of the initial monthly tabulations.

One other factor should be noted. The drop in unemployment from 9.9% to 9.7% was due not to vast job growth in the U.S. economy, but rather due to the fact that 322,000 unemployed workers were eliminated from the officially counted workforce. In fact, when one counts this category of so-called discourage workers, in addition to part time workers unable to find preferred full-time employment, the more inclusive U6 unemployment rate is close to 20%, or one in every five U.S. workers.

With continuing high rates of unemployment, it is clear that there will be no consumer-led economic recovery in major advanced economies. This means that massive government deficit spending is the only means of propping up national economies. However, with the global economic crisis rapidly mutating  into a virulent sovereign debt crisis, the option of public pump-priming clearly has its days numbered.

Deficit Hawks Versus Deficit Worshippers: Paul Krugman Leads the Charge

December 1st, 2009 Comments off

As the U.S. federal government sinks ever deeper into irreversible fiscal imbalance, a cadre of pro-deficit economists, led by Nobel laureate Paul Krugman, have been pounding the airwaves, making the case for an emergency government jobs program, funded by, no surprise, an even larger dose of deficit spending. The case presented by Krugman rests on two pillars: 1. The rate of unemployment is so severe, it risks undermining any sustained economic recovery, threatening larger deficits down the road; 2. Low interest rates mean the U.S. government can fund  additional debt cheaply, those rates in turn assured by the current state of the bond market.

I sympathize with Paul Krugman’s concern about unemployment. Clearly, TARP and the other bailout and stimulus measures were aimed at Wall Street’s recovery, not Main Street’s. But I disagree with his optimism regarding the ability of the United States economy to absorb more sovereign debt. In only nine years, America’s national debt to GDP ratio has doubled, currently standing at 80%. Furthermore, his belief that interest rates offered on U.S. government debt can be maintained at perpetually low rates is based on theology, not economic science. It is inevitable that interest rates will rise for a host of reasons, not the least being that  the U.S. will find increasing competition in the sovereign debt market from other deficit-seduced governments. Even a modest rise in bond yields will utterly devastate the capacity of the American government to service its public debts. Fiscal collapse would be the result, bringing in its wake a level of unemployment that would leave even Paul Krugman pining for the jobless rates of late 2009.

For More Information on “Global Economic Forecast 2010-2015” please go to the homepage of our website,   


New York Times Headline: U.S. Unemployment Rate Reaches 17.5 Percent

November 7th, 2009 Comments off

The U.S. Labor Department came out with the latest official jobless figures, showing that unemployment has now reached double digit territory: 10.2%. However, shortly after  this grim milestone was revealed, The New York Times had a front page headline that proclaimed the actual unemployment rate was 17.5%, meaning one in six American workers was either unemployed or forced to take a lower-paying part-time job due to the unavailability of a suitable fulltime position.

Since 1961, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has excluded discouraged workers from the official unemployment count, disseminated as U3. The more inclusive U6 unemployment figure, published in The New York Times, stands at 17.5%. However, there are other estimates that indicate true unemployment in the United States stands in excess of 20%.

More important than the competing unemployment figures in the change in  total labor income, equivalent to the gross number of hours worked multiplied by the mean average hourly wage. Over the past year, hours worked in the United States has declined by 7%, simultaneously with wages being frozen or reduced. In an economy dependent on the American consumer for more than 70% of GDP, these statistics do not augur well for a sustained economic recovery in the U.S., despite the official boasting of “green shoots” on the horizon.


For More Information on “Global Economic Forecast 2010-2015” please go to the homepage of our website, 







U.S. Jobless Figures Worse Than Expected

October 3rd, 2009 Comments off

The Department of Labor’s report on unemployment for September was just released, and it came as a dismal surprise to those proclaiming an end to the recession. Instead of a further reduction in lost jobs, the number actually increased in September.

According to the Department of Labor, a net total of 263,000 Americans jobs disappeared in September, taking the official U.S. unemployment rate to 9.8%, its highest level since 1983. In addition, the average workweek was reduced to 33 hours, the worst showing since the end of World War II. Those are the official numbers.

However, when one looks at the real  unemployment numbers, factoring in discouraged workers and the underemployed, the numbers are in excess of 17%; some estimates rank as high as above 20%. While the government can manipulate the unemployment statistics all it wants to artificially deflate the actual rate of unemployment, there is one number that cannot be played with; tax receipts. Fewer employed Americans mean less tax revenue for Washington. The U.S. federal government’s tax receipts are down by more than 20%, while spending is soaring to record levels. If this is an economic recovery, it is heavily disguised.

U.S. Unemployment Rate Soars; Jobless Level At Great Depression Levels

April 4th, 2009 Comments off
The March unemployment figures released by the U.S. Labor Department indicate that massive job redundancies in the United States are continuing unabated. According to the data, 663,000 jobs vanished in the past month, raising the official national unemployment rate from 8.2% to 8.5%, a level not seen since 1983. The Labor Departments statistics show that job losses occurred in all sectors of the U.S. economy: white and blue collar, manufacturing and service sectors, private and public arenas.
Since the current recession officially commenced in December of 2007, more than five million Americans have joined the ranks of the unemployed. However, as bad as the official statistics clearly are, the underlying reality is actually much worse. For one thing, the Labor Department no longer includes “discouraged” workers in its unemployment figures. In addition, the underemployed are also excluded. This latter category reflects the somber reality that millions of Americans have been forced out of full-time employment, and can only find part-time jobs with much lower salaries and benefits. When these missing pieces to the unemployment picture are aggregated, the actual unemployment rate in the United States is a staggering 15.6%, which fits in the mid-range of the unemployment rates that the U.S. encountered during the years of the Great Depression.
Like a receding cosmic red shift, the employment contraction in the United States is accelerating. Not even the massive deficit-driven stimulus binge of the Obama administration is expected to have anything beyond a minor impact on the burgeoning American unemployment figures. Even the Federal Reserve, whose Chairman has predicted an end to the recession before the current year is out, is projecting elevated jobless figures into 2011, while several economists predict high unemployment rates through 2013.

It is precisely at this time of unprecedented job destruction, not only in the U.S. but also throughout the world, that stock markets are rallying. The Dow Jones actually rose the day the U.S. Labor Department released its grim jobless statistics. Again we see the opium of optimism pervading Wall Street, while the Global Economic Crisis continues to shred Main Street.

Amid all the uncertainty clouding the global economy and its fate, one thing is certain: the massive rise in unemployment rates throughout the world will facilitate further demand destruction, which in turn will lead to further job losses, as a vicious self-perpetuating engine of economic destruction runs amok. Recall that the initiation of the Global Economic Crisis began with a collective failure to pay the monthly bills on subprime mortgages, at a time when the United States enjoyed record levels of employment, and an official jobless rate below 5%. With the likely impact of rising levels of unemployment on the securitized bank assets based on near-prime, prime and commercial mortgages likely to be highly negative, it would appear that the current “sucker’s rally” on Wall Street is just another manufactured asset bubble waiting to implode.