Rising Concern On China Debt
There is increasing concern at the rise in public and private debt in China relative to GDP. This concern is across the board: internal and external, public policymakers and private financial interests and investors. Some commentators are following the path of false optimism; no matter the size of China’s debt, the second largest economy in the world has the capacity to contain the problem-so they claim. That remains to be seen.
By some estimates, Chinese financial institutions are holding up to $3 trillion is bad or at least questionable debt, equivalent to America’s subprime mortgages that exploded in 2008, ushering in the global economic crisis. If Beijing is unable to contain the growing debt problem and it were to explode, the contagion would be at least as virulent as the impact on the global economy due to the subprime meltdown in the United States.
Of all the somber economic trends underway-and there are many-China’s accumulating public and private debt problems are the most vexatious.
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